As November 5 approaches, analyses abound to estimate what may happen and who will win the U.S. elections.

The "Washington Post" presented 6 potential scenarios for the contest between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris for the White House.

Scenario One: Harris wins through the "Blue Wall" states.

This seems to be the most likely scenario, according to polls conducted by the "Washington Post."

The reason is that Harris currently has a slight lead in 4 of the seven swing states: Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, putting her on track to secure 276 electoral votes, knowing that 270 is required.

All Harris needs in this case are the "Blue Wall" states, which are the three northern states where Democrats hold the majority, along with Nebraska's second congressional district, where the candidate leads by about 10 points, allowing her to achieve exactly 270 votes.

Scenario Two: The possibility of Trump winning through the East.

Trump's campaign is betting on 3 states in the East: Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

Polls have narrowed his chances in Pennsylvania to less than one point in favor of Harris, although he maintains a slight lead in Georgia and may expand his slim lead in North Carolina.

If Trump can navigate this path, his gains among Black voters may play a significant role, as Georgia and North Carolina have the largest Black populations among the swing states, and the number of Black voters in Pennsylvania is nearly 10 percent as well.

Trump has questioned Harris's Black identity, falsely claiming she was recently adopted, and he and his allies have suggested that his legal experience may broaden his appeal among Black men who feel unfairly targeted by the justice system.

Scenario Three: Trump and the Sun Belt route.

The other more logical path for Trump mostly runs through the southern half of the country, but it requires adding a northern state.

Polls have illustrated this in the Sun Belt states, especially Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.

However, the downside of this route is that it requires Trump to win more states, because even if he wins these four states, he will need to bring in one of the northern states.

If Trump performs better in the Sun Belt, the main reason may be that their voters tend to be more diverse.

All four mentioned states are more diverse than their northern neighbors, and according to the "Washington Post," polls indicate that Trump is making real gains with Black and Latino voters.

The three states where Trump is leading are also the states that have reliably been Republican until recently, as Arizona and Georgia did not turn blue until 2020, and North Carolina has turned blue only once since the 1970s in 2008.

From there, the question becomes which northern state could Trump add?

Wisconsin was the closest state he lost in 2020 (0.6 points), but close polling in Pennsylvania indicates he’s closer there.

Scenario Four: A major victory for Harris.

It is very possible that Harris wins, given her current two-point lead in national polls, which allows her to sweep the seven swing states. However, if the polls are inaccurate as they were in 2012 when they underestimated former President Barack Obama’s victory, she would win at least 5 swing states and about 300 electoral votes.

Scenario Five: A significant win for Trump.

If the polls in each state are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump will win all the swing states except Nevada, and if they are wrong as they were in 2020, Trump will win all seven swing states.

In either case, the electoral margin will look very similar to what it was in 2016, when Trump won 306 electoral votes.

But Trump may couple that with winning the popular vote this time, unlike losing by two points eight years ago.

Scenario Six: A tie.

Although unlikely, theoretically, we could still have a 269-269 tie in the electoral college.

This could occur if Harris wins in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin but loses the rest and in Nebraska’s second district, where she has a significant lead in polls.

Assuming Harris wins as expected in Nebraska’s second district, the most likely scenario for a tie is for Trump to win in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and North Carolina or Georgia, without winning any other swing state.

At that point, we would have what is called an "emergency election," where the House of Representatives elects the president by casting one vote for each state delegation, and the party controlling the most delegations will depend on the results of the 2024 elections, but the chances of Republicans winning are greater at this moment.