An Israeli military analyst expressed his belief that Tel Aviv is heading towards what he described as a severe multidimensional failure, and that at the strategic level it is "stuck on all fronts: Gaza, Lebanon, and internationally."

Amos Harel, the analyst from "Haaretz" newspaper, stated in an analysis published yesterday, Friday, that as the war in Gaza enters its ninth month, it is difficult to announce that good news is on the horizon. He added that "a series of discussions have taken place in recent weeks with high-ranking figures in the defense establishment, increasingly indicating that Israel is heading towards a severe multidimensional failure."

The analyst further noted that strategically: "We are stuck on all fronts, the largest and most significant being the Hezbollah front in Lebanon, which threatens to turn into a massive fire; if it happens, it will cast a shadow over everything that has occurred before it," according to statements reported by the "Ma'an" news agency.

1 - Gaza Front
Harel stated that in relation to the situation in Gaza, Israel is failing to translate what he described as a significant accumulation of tactical achievements into a strategic victory.

He clarified that "the military activity in the Gaza Strip, which is currently concentrated in Rafah and the refugee camps in the center, is imposing a heavy price on Hamas, but it is not achieving victory in the war in the foreseeable future," describing the situation in Gaza as more complex.

Regarding a prisoner exchange deal, he said: "It seems that talks about a deal with Hamas have entered a new crisis, after it seemed for a moment that President Joe Biden's speech might pull us out of the quagmire," expressing his belief that "under the circumstances, it seems that the right thing to do is to seek a prisoner deal as much as possible, even at the cost of stopping the war."

2 - Lebanon Front

Concerning Lebanon, the Israeli analyst warned of the consequences of the war with Hezbollah, stating: "It seems that the public has not yet realized the difference in terms of damage that Hezbollah's missiles can cause compared to Hamas's missiles."

He added that the number of missiles launched by Hamas on the first day of the war was 5,000, a number that Hezbollah can replicate every day for a month, and many of these missiles are heavier, with longer ranges and greater accuracy as well.

He continued: "Contrary to the impression created by some recent reports, it is difficult to say that the Israeli leadership is enthusiastic about a war in the north. However, there is a risk that the excessive display of the Israeli army's capabilities could reverse the desired outcome and make a comprehensive war more likely."

3 - Internationally

The Israeli analyst suggested that "Tel Aviv may find itself in a war without international legitimacy, which faded after October 7 when the dimensions of destruction and killing in Gaza became clear, as well as without strong American support and with an exhausted army struggling to maintain regular supplies of munitions and spare parts."

He explained the reasons that led the Israeli army to use the term "precision strikes" in its recent statements. He said: "A detailed paragraph was recently added to the official military statements about such strikes, stating that the operations were conducted with the utmost caution, in accordance with international laws of war."

He added: "The shadows of the International Criminal Court in The Hague are already looming over the events, and in some recent discussions conducted by the government and the defense establishment, participants were stunned to discover that international arrest warrants can also be issued secretly."

He noted that "theoretically, a senior military officer or minister could visit a foreign country and find himself a suspect and wanted upon landing in that country."