Arab Canada News

News

Analysis on the Bank of Canada's expectations for tomorrow (December 11, 2024)

Analysis on the Bank of Canada's expectations for tomorrow (December 11, 2024)

By م.زهير الشاعر

Published: December 11, 2024

The Bank of Canada is expected to make another interest rate cut in its final decision of the year, with expectations split between a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut. This decision comes amidst ongoing weakness in economic growth, as the Canadian economy slowed to an annual growth rate of 1% in the third quarter compared to 2.2% in the second quarter.

Key forecasts:

1. A 25 basis point cut: Most economists, including TD Bank and BMO, favor a limited cut of this size, given the bank's previous caution regarding significant steps.

2. A 50 basis point cut: RBC and a number of analysts believe that the economic slowdown may push the bank to make a larger cut to support the market, especially after a similar cut in October.

Potential implications:

• Real estate market: The cut may relieve pressure on borrowers, but it will not lead to a swift recovery due to constraints related to the financial tests for fixed and variable rates.

• Inflation and spending: Any additional cut may boost consumption, but it could increase pressure to balance economic stimulus and curbing inflation.

• Outlook for 2025: There is optimism for further cuts in the coming year, prompting some buyers to wait until conditions improve.

Proposed title:

“Bank of Canada Faces Economic Slowdown: Is a Major Rate Cut the Solution?”

We will await the official bank announcement to confirm the forecasts and understand the future trends of monetary policy.

Comments

Related

Weather

Today

Saturday, 05 July 2025

Loading...
icon --°C

--°C

--°C

  • --%
  • -- kmh
  • --%