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Sources have revealed to the "Times of Israel" that officials in former President Donald Trump's administration warned Israeli ministers not to assume that the elected president would definitely support Israel's annexation of parts of the West Bank if he returned to power in the upcoming elections. Although some of Trump's former advisers do not rule out this possibility, they emphasize the need not to treat this assumption as a foregone conclusion.

An Israeli official noted that Trump's advisers stressed in their recent meetings with several Israeli ministers that any move toward annexing the West Bank would face a strong backlash from U.S. allies in the Gulf, such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Trump relies on these allies to support his key foreign policy objectives, including confronting Iranian threats, competing with China, and seeking a settlement to end the war in Ukraine.

Another official added that one of Trump's former aides informed an Israeli minister that a second Trump administration would not support the annexation of Israeli settlements in the West Bank “in isolation from any context,” as was the case in 2020. At that time, after the Palestinian Authority rejected the Trump administration's “peace to prosperity” initiative, a partial annexation plan for the West Bank was coordinated with Israel. However, this project was postponed after the UAE agreed to normalize relations with Israel, known as the Abraham Accords.

The U.S. commitment to Israel not to proceed with annexation is expected to end by the end of 2024. Nevertheless, one former Trump administration official indicated that no significant changes are anticipated in the conditions of U.S. support for any Israeli move regarding the application of sovereignty over the settlements.

This official stated: “If an annexation step is taken, it must be part of a comprehensive process.”

These warnings come at a time when Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich stated that 2025 would be “the year of sovereignty” in the West Bank, thanks to Trump's potential return to the presidency. National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir also indicated last week that “this is the time for sovereignty.”

In that context, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced the appointment of Yehiel Leiter, a former settlement leader known for his support of the annexation of large parts of the West Bank and opposition to the establishment of a Palestinian state, as the new ambassador of Israel to the United States.

These developments highlight the geopolitical challenges the United States would face if it supported such steps, given the sensitivity of relations with its Gulf allies and the importance of maintaining regional stability.